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Red5
33900.0
32212.3
32231.3
Blue4
25170.5
21490.8
29101.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33012345654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1.60.1
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3223
#10
1.30.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2149
#54
0.80.1
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3390
#26
0.00.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2517
#64
0.50.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End