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Red2
29900.4
24711.9
32380.8
Blue3
13590.2
29151.5
3601.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33024681023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#18
1.90.1
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1.50.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3238
#19
0.80.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
360
#28
1.10.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2990
#49
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1359
#36
0.20.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End