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Red1
29030.5
29060.5
25550.7
Blue4
18990.8
30700.9
2929-0.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210234567814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2555
#24
0.70.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3070
#11
0.90.2
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2903
#37
0.50.0
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1899
#31
0.80.3
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2906
#30
0.50.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2929
#61
-0.00.3
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End