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Red6
29151.5
32860.8
32370.7
Blue3
29440.3
29030.5
13461.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.50.2
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1346
#32
1.00.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3286
#17
0.80.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2903
#37
0.50.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3237
#23
0.70.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2944
#20
0.30.1
0.00.1
Auto
Teleop
End