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Red0
29280.4
14250.3
25170.5
Blue1
18990.8
21480.6
4920.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210468101201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2517
#64
0.50.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1899
#31
0.80.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2928
#27
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2148
#22
0.60.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1425
#57
0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
492
#42
0.50.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End