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Red5
29240.1
32680.4
32212.3
Blue0
26050.6
13590.2
29250.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.2
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2605
#46
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3268
#40
0.40.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2925
#45
0.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2924
#53
0.10.2
0.00.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1359
#36
0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End