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Qual 852010 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red2
24120.2
26600.6
9490.6
Blue5
32131.1
24711.9
25550.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140268101225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
949
#38
0.60.0
0.6→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.2
2471
#18
1.90.1
1.9→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2660
#34
0.60.0
0.6→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
3213
#13
1.10.1
1.1→1.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2412
#56
0.20.0
0.2→0.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
2555
#24
0.70.1
0.6→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—