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Red4
33931.2
21470.8
17780.5
Blue1
29060.5
32370.7
25170.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#39
1.20.2
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3237
#23
0.70.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2147
#51
0.80.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2517
#64
0.50.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1778
#58
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2906
#30
0.50.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End