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Qual 892010 Microsoft Seattle Regional
Red4
29101.6
20462.0
29420.7
Blue2
29151.5
29280.4
26050.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions520468101242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2046
#2
2.00.0
2.0→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.5
2915
#4
1.50.0
1.3→1.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2910
#8
1.60.0
1.6→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
2605
#46
0.60.0
0.6→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2942
#44
0.70.0
0.7→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
2928
#27
0.40.0
0.5→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—