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Red4
25742.3
17161.7
33622.1
Blue3
5371.5
16520.9
31971.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21012345643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.30.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3197
#15
1.71.2
1.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3362
#12
2.11.5
2.10.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
537
#17
1.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1.70.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1652
#39
0.90.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End