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Red5
21971.2
10181.7
17322.5
Blue6
31470.7
17142.6
24813.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#11
2.50.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3.00.3
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1018
#14
1.70.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2.60.3
0.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2197
#31
1.20.2
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3147
#41
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End