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Red80
36169.0
191836.6
37048.7
Blue3
25435.6
132330.5
33518.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44370206080100120140160803

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#13
36.61.9
34.636.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1323
#43
30.51.7
22.721.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3616
#31
9.01.9
5.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3351
#66
8.71.9
8.76.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3704
#40
8.71.9
3.25.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
2543
#84
5.61.7
6.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End