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Red109
301025.6
84626.5
33048.3
Blue100
50316.5
7447.4
364213.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97530150200109100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#5
48.31.0
43.544.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
74
#21
47.42.0
41.743.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
846
#33
26.51.0
25.526.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
503
#45
16.52.0
10.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3010
#15
25.61.0
21.021.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
3642
#70
13.22.3
7.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End