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Red11
24498.9
172613.3
21283.0
Blue5
11654.0
12122.4
30194.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19120304050607080115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.30.6
8.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
3019
#22
4.70.7
4.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.90.6
5.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
1165
#18
4.00.7
4.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2128
#16
3.00.6
5.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1212
#41
2.40.7
3.62.9
Auto
Teleop
End