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Red4
28408.7
38530.6
32810.5
Blue0
18284.7
6981.3
31330.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13502040608040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2840
#10
8.70.7
8.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1828
#39
4.70.5
1.91.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3853
#33
0.60.7
0.4-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
698
#35
1.30.5
1.30.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3281
#27
0.50.7
3.52.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3133
#36
0.60.5
3.02.5
Auto
Teleop
End