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Red9
24039.5
3187-0.6
38530.6
Blue12
17984.1
33212.0
34622.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117020304050912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#12
9.50.1
8.68.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
1798
#29
4.10.4
3.64.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3853
#33
0.60.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
3462
#26
2.70.4
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3187
#38
-0.60.1
-0.3-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3321
#25
2.00.4
2.12.5
Auto
Teleop
End