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Qual 612011 Arizona Regional
Red0
30194.7
31703.8
9913.0
Blue6
32810.5
31584.4
37852.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12902030405060708006

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3019
#22
4.70.9
6.8→5.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
3158
#13
4.40.2
4.5→4.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3170
#21
3.80.9
0.7→-0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
3785
#15
2.80.3
3.6→3.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
991
#19
3.00.9
3.9→3.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.5
3281
#27
0.50.3
1.0→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—