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Red3
3013-1.1
19674.4
21597.8
Blue0
25515.5
24733.0
11410.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1125040608010030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2159
Unranked
7.80.5
8.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
114
Unranked
10.61.1
11.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1967
Unranked
4.40.5
5.34.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2551
Unranked
5.51.1
6.65.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3013
Unranked
-1.10.5
-0.6-1.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
2473
Unranked
3.01.1
4.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End