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Red64
11513.5
21445.8
8418.0
Blue55
6498.1
7669.2
186824.5
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions164604060801001206455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
13.52.2
11.213.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.0
1868
Unranked
24.50.7
24.725.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
841
Unranked
8.02.2
5.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
766
Unranked
9.20.7
8.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2144
Unranked
5.82.2
3.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
649
Unranked
8.10.7
7.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End