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Quarterfinal 2-12011 Curie Division
Red107
36537.1
198641.4
36437.9
Blue112
5137.5
98754.9
96834.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313750100150200250107112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#21
41.40.2
41.5→41.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 13.5
987
#5
54.90.4
56.9→56.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
364
#4
37.90.2
38.1→37.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
51
#49
37.50.4
39.5→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
365
#17
37.10.2
37.2→37.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.3
968
#45
34.80.4
36.8→36.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—