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Semifinal 1-32011 Curie Division
Red94
36831.4
124124.6
205658.3
Blue121
96834.8
5137.5
98754.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11213205015020025030094121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#30
58.30.4
58.6→58.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 3.4
987
#5
54.90.1
55.5→55.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
368
#36
31.40.4
31.8→31.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.1
51
#49
37.50.1
38.1→37.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1241
#1
24.60.4
25.0→24.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 10.1
968
#45
34.80.1
35.3→35.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—