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Red23
87719.7
25034.3
37542.8
Blue74
251814.8
32978.6
253017.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25250102030405060702374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
#4
19.70.2
14.314.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
17.94.1
10.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2503
#18
4.30.2
7.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.5
2518
#11
14.84.1
10.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3754
#22
2.80.2
3.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
3297
#13
8.64.1
4.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End