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Red4
32676.5
37402.8
37550.4
Blue32
38404.3
217714.4
32947.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62201030405060432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3267
#29
6.50.4
5.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
2177
#16
14.41.0
11.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3740
#27
2.80.4
3.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
7.31.0
2.13.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3755
#31
0.40.4
0.1-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
3840
#17
4.31.0
6.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End