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Red2
18755.1
36115.8
23834.0
Blue38
8619.9
15433.7
164919.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3241020304050607080238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3611
#26
5.80.3
1.20.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.1
86
#11
19.91.4
10.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1875
#49
5.10.3
1.81.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
19.41.4
7.28.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2383
#53
4.00.3
2.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1543
#15
3.71.4
3.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End