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Red0
16045.6
24252.2
33763.2
Blue6
15576.5
35021.7
35205.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111020304006

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1604
#30
5.60.9
4.43.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1557
#28
6.50.4
7.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3376
#41
3.20.9
2.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
3520
#14
5.00.4
2.52.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2425
#42
2.20.9
4.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3502
#40
1.70.4
1.20.8
Auto
Teleop
End