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Red1
33763.2
3549-3.2
23328.7
Blue21
38031.3
29163.4
10321.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36180406080121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#6
28.72.3
27.825.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
103
#4
21.50.1
17.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3376
#41
3.22.5
5.32.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2916
#23
3.40.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3549
#46
-3.22.5
-0.2-2.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3803
#58
1.30.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End