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Red40
16045.6
35566.6
152310.9
Blue5
6650.7
34107.5
1680.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions189030405060405

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#12
10.91.8
7.49.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3410
#24
7.50.4
8.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3556
#47
6.61.7
5.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
665
#57
0.70.4
1.20.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1604
#30
5.61.8
4.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
168
#51
0.40.5
1.00.6
Auto
Teleop
End