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Red60
353614.8
4709.9
13227.4
Blue33
49414.7
124310.4
16847.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33290204060801006033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.80.6
14.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
494
#13
14.70.1
13.413.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
470
#19
9.90.5
9.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1243
#14
10.40.1
9.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1322
#21
7.40.5
7.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1684
#22
7.90.1
6.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End