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Red16
124310.4
233720.1
353614.8
Blue3
16847.9
34210.5
5121.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19260406080100120163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#11
20.10.3
9.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
51
#9
21.81.8
18.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
14.80.3
4.23.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1684
#22
7.91.8
4.12.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1243
#14
10.40.3
6.66.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
3421
#27
0.51.8
2.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End