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Red45
295911.5
91013.6
224615.4
Blue34
35377.6
8353.4
37711.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252204060804534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2246
#21
15.42.0
3.65.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
3537
#28
7.62.4
1.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
910
#37
13.62.0
7.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.3
835
#23
3.42.4
3.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
11.52.0
10.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.0
3771
#39
1.52.4
0.12.5
Auto
Teleop
End