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Red1
2476.7
37671.3
8151.7
Blue30
20121.6
8574.2
247414.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727020406080130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#12
6.70.7
5.04.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.9
201
#3
21.60.5
13.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
815
#25
1.70.7
2.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.3
14.00.5
8.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3767
#36
1.30.7
2.41.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
857
#17
4.20.5
2.12.5
Auto
Teleop
End