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Red3
13785.8
38780.3
24653.3
Blue65
24774.6
24606.2
35939.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156204080100120365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1378
#30
5.80.5
5.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.3
359
#1
39.10.9
35.436.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2465
#29
3.30.5
2.62.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
2460
#21
6.21.5
6.27.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3878
#32
0.30.5
1.91.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
2477
#25
4.60.9
5.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End