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Red0
38793.4
243810.0
24594.0
Blue72
36832.9
31322.9
243925.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1048020406080100120072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#20
10.01.3
7.96.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.0
368
#3
32.92.5
26.428.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2459
#28
4.01.3
3.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.8
25.71.5
16.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3879
#17
3.41.3
4.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3132
#22
2.92.5
-0.52.0
Auto
Teleop
End