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Red25
172014.1
44710.5
28676.2
Blue1
28560.5
17606.5
86815.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1327020406080251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1720
#13
14.10.8
4.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
868
#34
15.71.5
13.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
447
#12
10.50.8
6.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1760
#28
6.52.0
5.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
6.20.8
4.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
2856
#29
0.52.0
6.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End