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Red40
82919.8
101819.1
318614.3
Blue15
55411.2
17416.5
21717.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262004060801001201404015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#7
19.81.2
9.410.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
554
#23
11.20.5
6.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1018
#11
19.11.2
8.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.8
2171
#32
7.40.5
6.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3186
#19
14.31.2
7.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
6.50.5
8.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End