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Red0
4618.5
31805.7
38144.9
Blue4
17416.5
35654.0
34879.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1213051015202504

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#27
8.51.0
7.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3487
#20
9.00.7
1.00.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3180
#37
5.71.0
1.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
6.50.7
6.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3814
#40
4.91.0
3.12.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3565
#36
4.00.7
5.14.4
Auto
Teleop
End