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Red38
82919.8
35598.9
15296.9
Blue8
86815.7
32723.8
318614.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212901040506070388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#7
19.81.4
15.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
868
#34
15.71.0
15.114.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3559
#14
8.91.4
2.33.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3186
#19
14.31.6
7.35.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1529
#26
6.91.4
4.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3272
#31
3.81.6
5.03.4
Auto
Teleop
End