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Red74
208128.8
35940.7
174118.6
Blue94
112642.5
33044.5
101823.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891090501001502007494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
Unranked
40.70.9
41.640.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
330
Unranked
44.50.6
44.844.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2081
Unranked
28.80.9
29.228.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
1126
Unranked
42.50.6
41.540.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1741
Unranked
18.60.9
21.620.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
1018
Unranked
23.30.6
19.919.3
Auto
Teleop
End