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Red105
233743.9
86813.2
241538.6
Blue124
1644.2
151938.3
313835.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103119050150200250105124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
Unranked
43.90.0
46.346.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
16
Unranked
44.20.4
45.645.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2415
Unranked
38.60.0
43.543.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1519
Unranked
38.30.4
33.033.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
868
Unranked
13.20.0
15.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.1
3138
Unranked
35.30.4
37.938.2
Auto
Teleop
End