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Red127
29230.5
46943.6
33044.5
Blue125
23342.8
241538.6
5133.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12212190100110130140150127125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
44.50.3
43.243.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
233
Unranked
42.80.1
44.044.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
469
Unranked
43.60.3
46.446.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2415
Unranked
38.60.1
42.342.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
292
Unranked
30.50.3
31.431.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
51
Unranked
33.20.1
36.136.3
Auto
Teleop
End