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Red42
86813.2
82920.7
150337.8
Blue102
147735.8
201638.6
103823.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749905015020042102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1503
Unranked
37.81.8
39.537.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2016
Unranked
38.60.4
37.838.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
829
Unranked
20.71.8
21.820.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
1477
Unranked
35.80.4
33.233.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
868
Unranked
13.21.8
16.214.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
1038
Unranked
23.90.4
24.124.4
Auto
Teleop
End