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Red104
151938.3
208128.8
12532.8
Blue107
21746.3
39938.0
13527.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94117050150200104107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1519
Unranked
38.30.3
34.634.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
217
Unranked
46.30.3
49.449.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
125
Unranked
32.80.3
33.433.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
399
Unranked
38.00.3
37.837.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2081
Unranked
28.80.3
29.830.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
135
Unranked
27.30.3
26.626.2
Auto
Teleop
End