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Red89
208128.8
313835.3
153841.1
Blue112
57338.9
29230.5
34128.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1159605015089112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
Unranked
41.11.1
43.642.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
573
Unranked
38.90.6
39.139.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3138
Unranked
35.31.1
38.237.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
292
Unranked
30.50.6
31.732.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2081
Unranked
28.81.1
30.129.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
341
Unranked
28.50.6
28.529.1
Auto
Teleop
End