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Red119
201638.6
150125.8
1644.2
Blue125
212240.9
33044.5
4514.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1109650150119125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
44.20.6
45.245.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
330
Unranked
44.51.3
43.544.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2016
Unranked
38.60.6
38.138.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2122
Unranked
40.91.3
40.942.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1501
Unranked
25.80.6
24.625.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
45
Unranked
14.41.3
14.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End