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Red6
37664.1
19464.7
26791.9
Blue3
33683.5
19558.0
19520.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5902030405063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1946
#30
4.70.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1955
#11
8.00.5
3.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3766
#24Sur
4.10.0
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3368
#42Sur
3.50.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2679
#23
1.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1952
#43
0.20.5
2.82.4
Auto
Teleop
End