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Red30
22142.2
30349.6
169021.0
Blue0
30885.8
37754.4
19433.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17100406080100120300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.01.2
8.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
3088
#27
5.80.9
5.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.61.2
3.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
3775
#28
4.40.9
3.62.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2214
#44
2.21.2
3.64.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1943
#36
3.40.9
1.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End