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Red5
33162.6
19425.2
19378.7
Blue1
19433.4
30838.3
33832.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10120515202530354051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.70.5
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3083
#18
8.30.9
7.26.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1942
#41
5.20.5
1.71.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1943
#36
3.40.9
0.5-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2.60.5
2.72.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3383
#33
2.20.9
3.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End