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Red33
26791.9
22126.9
32113.7
Blue0
30885.8
38271.7
30755.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3130102030405060330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2212
#17
6.92.4
2.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
3088
#27
5.81.0
4.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3211
#12
3.72.4
1.53.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3075
#32
5.61.0
5.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2679
#23
1.92.4
0.93.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3827
#48
1.71.0
1.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End