Qualification 55 · 2011 Israel Regional — Benchmark

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Qual 552011 Israel Regional

Red3

Blue21

45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail

Ace

#32

5.60.9

5.2→4.3

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blue by 2.0

#3

7.60.5

5.9→6.4

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Second

#42

3.50.9

6.0→5.1

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blue by 2.7

#16

6.20.5

5.8→6.2

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Third

#40

0.40.9

2.9→2.0

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blue by 4.3

#25

4.70.5

3.6→4.1

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