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Red15
30885.8
30841.7
19425.2
Blue17
19577.6
15774.7
33162.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111302030401517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3088
#27
5.80.3
7.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1957
#13
7.60.3
6.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1942
#41
5.20.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1577
#19
4.70.3
4.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3084
#37
1.70.3
3.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2.60.3
1.41.8
Auto
Teleop
End